Virtus Entella vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Avellino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Entella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,836) and Avellino (1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Entella vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 8L. Di Maggio
- 2F. Missori
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Avellino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Virtus Entella wins, 4 draws, 2 Avellino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Avellino | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Avellino 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| May 10, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino | Serie B |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Avellino 0-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Jan 28, 2017 | Avellino 2-2 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Avellino on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avellino | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (5 points from 5 matches) and Avellino sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
A question about Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Avellino.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Avellino played?
- Virtus Entella vs Avellino is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.