Benfica B vs Chaves: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Benfica B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica B vs Chaves?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Benfica B (2,041) and Chaves (1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica B vs Chaves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica B
4-3-3- 91Francisco Silva
- 74O. Tome
- 77Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
- 60Nuno Félix
- 73Miguel Figueiredo
- 76R. Quintas
- 55João Carvalho Fonseca
- 33Gabriel Indio
- 78D. Soares
- 62J. Neto
- 50Diogo Ferreira
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 16D. Yearwood
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 23Léo Alabá
- 29M. Tounkara
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 1João Valido
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica B have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chaves have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Academica(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Benfica B wins, 2 draws, 0 Chaves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Benfica B 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Chaves 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Chaves 1-2 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Benfica B 1-0 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Chaves 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Benfica B 3-1 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica B score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chaves score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Chaves | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 6 matches) and Chaves sit 16th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Benfica B vs Chaves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica B vs Chaves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Benfica B.
- Where and when is Benfica B vs Chaves played?
- Benfica B vs Chaves is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Caixa Futebol Campus, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.