Penafiel vs Feirense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel
The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Feirense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penafiel vs Feirense?
Penafiel starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penafiel vs Feirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penafiel
3-4-3- 10Davo
- 17João Pinto
- 9Max Svensson
- 21Pedro Sá
- 50Francisco Varela
- 8Àlex Carbonell
- 85Carlinhos Augusto
- 5Jaime Sánchez
- 27Gonçalo Negrão
- 75T. Alloh
- 1Miguel Oliveira
Feirense
4-3-3- 19Alexandre Guedes
- 47Piri
- 7Arthur Viana
- 22Samad Popoola
- 77Gui Meira
- 27Tiago Castro
- 14Pedro Pinto
- 4Antonio Leal
- 20João Oliveira
- 15Diego Moreno
- 26Diego Altube
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penafiel have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Feirense have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Academica(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Penafiel win, 0 draws, 5 Feirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Feirense 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Penafiel 1-2 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Penafiel 1-2 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Feirense 3-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Penafiel 2-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Feirense 2-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Penafiel score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Feirense score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Feirense | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penafiel sit 2nd in Segunda Liga (13 points from 6 matches) and Feirense sit 18th (1 point from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penafiel | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Penafiel vs Feirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penafiel vs Feirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Penafiel vs Feirense played?
- Penafiel vs Feirense is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.