Berca vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Berca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flacăra Moreni wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berca vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berca vs Flacăra Moreni
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berca
Not enough data to predict the Berca lineup.
Flacăra Moreni
Not enough data to predict the Flacăra Moreni lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Berca have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 4-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Blejoi(away) | 1-6 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Berca score 2.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 10; Flacăra Moreni score 3.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berca | 2.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/10 | 9/10 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 3.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berca sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 3 (13 points from 7 matches) and Flacăra Moreni sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Berca vs Flacăra Moreni?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berca vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Berca.
- Where and when is Berca vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Berca vs Flacăra Moreni is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.