Berceo vs Calahorra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Berceo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calahorra wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berceo vs Calahorra?
Calahorra starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,715).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berceo vs Calahorra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berceo
Not enough data to predict the Berceo lineup.
Calahorra
Not enough data to predict the Calahorra lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 11:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berceo have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Calahorra have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Calzada(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pradejón(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Yagüe(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calasancio(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berceo win, 0 draws, 1 Calahorra win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Calahorra 2-0 Berceo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Berceo 1-0 Calahorra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Berceo score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Calahorra score 2.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berceo | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Calahorra | 2.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berceo sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (15 points from 7 matches) and Calahorra sit 8th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Berceo vs Calahorra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berceo vs Calahorra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Berceo.
- Where and when is Berceo vs Calahorra played?
- Berceo vs Calahorra is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.