La Calzada vs Agoncillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rollo, Santo Domingo de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for La Calzada. The most likely score is 1-1. If Agoncillo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Calzada vs Agoncillo?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate La Calzada (1,716) and Agoncillo (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Calzada vs Agoncillo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Calzada
Not enough data to predict the La Calzada lineup.
Agoncillo
Not enough data to predict the Agoncillo lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Agoncillo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 La Calzada wins, 1 draw, 3 Agoncillo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Agoncillo 1-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | La Calzada 2-3 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Agoncillo 2-1 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | La Calzada 3-0 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | La Calzada 1-0 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Agoncillo 1-0 La Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Agoncillo vs La Calzada on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Calzada score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Calzada | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Agoncillo | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Calzada sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (12 points from 6 matches) and Agoncillo sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
A question about La Calzada vs Agoncillo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Calzada vs Agoncillo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for La Calzada.
- Where and when is La Calzada vs Agoncillo played?
- La Calzada vs Agoncillo is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rollo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.