Bergisch Gladbach vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BELKAW-Arena, Bergisch Gladbach
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergisch Gladbach vs Paderborn II?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bergisch Gladbach (1,924) and Paderborn II (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergisch Gladbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergisch Gladbach vs Paderborn II?
- The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Bergisch Gladbach vs Paderborn II played?
- Bergisch Gladbach vs Paderborn II is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BELKAW-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 8, 2027Sportfreunde LottevsSG Wattenscheid 09
- May 8, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsWiedenbrück
- May 8, 2027Köln IIvsFC Bocholt
- May 8, 2027Schalke 04 IIvsBonner SC
- May 8, 2027HildenvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- May 8, 2027FC GuterslohvsBorussia Dortmund II
- May 8, 2027Westfalia RhynernvsSV Rodinghausen
- May 8, 2027Bochum IIvsSportfreunde Siegen