Where and when is Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?

Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BELKAW-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BELKAW-Arena, Bergisch Gladbach

Bergisch Gladbach

Sportfreunde Lotte

The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Bergisch Gladbach (1,923) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).

Bergisch Gladbach win48 %

Draw24 %

Sportfreunde Lotte win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergisch Gladbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bergisch Gladbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Gutersloh(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026	Borussia Dortmund II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026	Wiedenbrück(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	SG Wattenscheid 09(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

Sportfreunde Lotte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bochum II(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026	Bonner SC(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026	Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	FC Gutersloh(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026	Real Betis(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2021	Bergisch Gladbach 0-2 Sportfreunde Lotte	Regionalliga - West
Nov 4, 2020	Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 Bergisch Gladbach	Regionalliga - West
Oct 26, 2019	Sportfreunde Lotte 4-0 Bergisch Gladbach	Regionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Apr 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bergisch Gladbach	3.3	1.8	3	11/15	13/15
Sportfreunde Lotte	1.0	2.1	2	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Bergisch Gladbach	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
16	Sportfreunde Lotte	4	0	2	2	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte?: The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BELKAW-Arena, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.