Match

Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte

Sportfreunde LotteBergisch Gladbach

The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,871) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,924).

Sportfreunde Lotte win33 %
Draw25 %
Bergisch Gladbach win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Lotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bochum II(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Bonner SC(away)2-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026FC Gutersloh(home)0-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 18, 2026Real Betis(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Bergisch Gladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Gutersloh(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Borussia Dortmund II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2021Bergisch Gladbach 0-2 Sportfreunde LotteRegionalliga - West
Nov 4, 2020Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 Bergisch GladbachRegionalliga - West
Oct 26, 2019Sportfreunde Lotte 4-0 Bergisch GladbachRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Apr 7, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Lotte1.02.128/159/15
Bergisch Gladbach3.31.8311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Bergisch Gladbach4112684
16Sportfreunde Lotte4022242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach?
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Lotte and Bergisch Gladbach

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