Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,871) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | Bergisch Gladbach 0-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Sportfreunde Lotte 4-0 Bergisch Gladbach | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Apr 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Bergisch Gladbach the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 2, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Sep 2, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSchalke 04 II
- Sep 2, 2026FC BocholtvsBonner SC
- Sep 2, 2026WiedenbrückvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 2, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsPaderborn II
- Sep 2, 2026FC GuterslohvsHilden
- Sep 2, 2026Bochum IIvsKöln II