Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Siegen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Siegen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,920) and Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Siegen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 8-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paderborn II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen 2-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Paderborn II 0-2 Sportfreunde Siegen | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Paderborn II 0-0 Sportfreunde Siegen | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Sportfreunde Siegen 0-2 Paderborn II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 29, 2022 | Sportfreunde Siegen 0-3 Paderborn II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Paderborn II 3-1 Sportfreunde Siegen | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?
- The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Sportfreunde Siegen.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Siegen played?
- Paderborn II vs Sportfreunde Siegen is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Bonner SCvsFC Bocholt
- Feb 27, 2027SV RodinghausenvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Feb 27, 2027Bergisch GladbachvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Feb 27, 2027Borussia M'gladbach IIvsWiedenbrück
- Feb 27, 2027Köln IIvsBochum II
- Feb 27, 2027Schalke 04 IIvsBorussia Dortmund II
- Feb 27, 2027HildenvsFC Gutersloh
- Feb 27, 2027Westfalia RhynernvsRot-weiss Oberhausen