Bergnäsets vs Fransta: prediction and stats
Division 2 - NorrlandRelegation FinalKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)JIABvallen, Luleå
The Footlab AI model makes Bergnäsets the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Fransta. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bergnäsets vs Fransta?
On Elo ratings, Bergnäsets has 1,412 points and Fransta 1,409.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bergnäsets vs Fransta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bergnäsets
Not enough data to predict the Bergnäsets lineup.
Fransta
Not enough data to predict the Fransta lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergnäsets have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Fransta have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Boden(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Täfteå(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Friska Viljor(home) | 3-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Kiruna FF(away) | 4-4 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lucksta(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Umea FF(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Storfors(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Umeå FC Akademi(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Friska Viljor(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norrland |
| Sep 12, 2026 | IFK Umeå(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Norrland |
How many goals should we expect?
Bergnäsets score 1.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fransta score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergnäsets | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Fransta | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 9 |
A question about Bergnäsets vs Fransta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bergnäsets vs Fransta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bergnäsets the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Fransta.
- Where and when is Bergnäsets vs Fransta played?
- Bergnäsets vs Fransta is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at JIABvallen, in the Division 2 - Norrland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.