Match

Marek vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

MarekSpartak Pleven

The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marek wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Spartak Pleven?

On Elo ratings, Marek has 1,617 points and Spartak Pleven 1,551.

61%22%17%
Marek winDrawSpartak Pleven win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marek vs Spartak Pleven

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marek

4-3-3
  1. 10N. Ganchev
  2. 19Dimitar Goranov
  3. 11M. Miletić
  1. 16S. Mechev
  2. 90P. Georgiev
  3. 88E. George
  1. 23E. Viyachki
  2. 3M. Petkov
  3. 33D. Kirilov
  4. 2Nikolay Plyakov
  1. 21K. Kostadinov

Spartak Pleven

4-3-3
  1. 24S. Adelani
  2. 25P. Antonov
  3. 27Adjeil Neves
  1. 4M. Trifonov
  2. 6V. Ivanov
  3. 10V. Shopov
  1. 8R. Marinov
  2. 21K. Velchev
  3. 20P. Spasov
  4. 26D. Stoyanov
  1. 99P. Petrov

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Beroe(home)3-2Second League
Oct 4, 2026Chavdar Troyan(away)4-0Cup
Sep 26, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)0-0Second League
Sep 20, 2026Rilski Sportist(home)1-3Second League
Sep 13, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)3-0Second League
Spartak Pleven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pirin Blagoevgrad(away)1-1Second League
Oct 3, 2026Levski Krumovgrad(away)2-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Fratria(away)0-3Second League
Sep 21, 2026Ludogorets II(home)1-0Second League
Sep 13, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-3Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win, 2 draws, 3 Spartak Pleven wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven 2-1 MarekSecond League
Mar 29, 2026Marek 0-0 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Sep 20, 2025Spartak Pleven 2-0 MarekSecond League
May 11, 2025Spartak Pleven 2-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 16, 2024Marek 3-0 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Apr 6, 2024Spartak Pleven 0-0 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Marek on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marek1.21.364/159/15
Spartak Pleven1.11.837/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 12th in Second League (17 points from 12 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 14th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marek12525141417
14Spartak Pleven12426122314

A question about Marek vs Spartak Pleven?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
The Footlab AI model makes Marek the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Spartak Pleven.
Where and when is Marek vs Spartak Pleven played?
Marek vs Spartak Pleven is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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