Match

Marek vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa

MarekSpartak Pleven

The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marek vs Spartak Pleven?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Marek (1,631) and Spartak Pleven (1,606).

Marek win44 %
Draw28 %
Spartak Pleven win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League
Spartak Pleven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)0-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Rilski Sportist(away)2-2Second League
Aug 1, 2026Marek(home)2-1Second League
Jul 25, 2026Yantra 2019(away)2-0Second League
Jul 18, 2026Montana(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spartak Pleven win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven 2-1 MarekSecond League
Mar 29, 2026Marek 0-0 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Sep 20, 2025Spartak Pleven 2-0 MarekSecond League
May 11, 2025Spartak Pleven 2-0 MarekSecond League
Nov 16, 2024Marek 3-0 Spartak PlevenSecond League
Apr 6, 2024Spartak Pleven 0-0 MarekSecond League

Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Marek on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marek1.00.974/156/15
Spartak Pleven1.41.458/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Spartak Pleven4211647
10Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Pleven.
Where and when is Marek vs Spartak Pleven played?
Marek vs Spartak Pleven is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marek and Spartak Pleven

Ready to know everything about football?