Marek vs Spartak Pleven: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Pleven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Marek (1,631) and Spartak Pleven (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Spartak Pleven have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marek(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Montana(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marek win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Spartak Pleven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven 2-1 Marek | Second League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Marek 0-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 2-0 Marek | Second League |
| May 11, 2025 | Spartak Pleven 2-0 Marek | Second League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Marek 3-0 Spartak Pleven | Second League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Spartak Pleven 0-0 Marek | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Pleven vs Marek on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Pleven score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Spartak Pleven | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Pleven sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs Spartak Pleven?
- The Footlab model makes Marek the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Spartak Pleven.
- Where and when is Marek vs Spartak Pleven played?
- Marek vs Spartak Pleven is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026BeroevsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Dec 5, 2026NesebarvsMontana
- Dec 5, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Dec 5, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsLudogorets II
- Dec 5, 2026VihrenvsHebar 1918
- Dec 5, 2026Yantra 2019vsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Dec 5, 2026Rilski SportistvsFratria
- Dec 5, 2026Sportist SvogevsDobrudzha