Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, Luz i Vogël
The Footlab AI model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Pogradeci. The most likely score is 1-1. If Besa Kavajë wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Besa Kavajë (1,664) and Pogradeci (1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Besa Kavajë
4-3-3- 13Nurudeen Abdulai
- 4Ersi Kapo
- 10Rodrigo Migone
- 23E. Spahiu
- 22Redon Danaj
- 7F. Beqja
- 33Bianor
- 26William Cordeiro
- 3K. Ayivi
- 30Rubin Hebeja
- 50M. Abdullahu
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besa Kavajë have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Pogradeci have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Devolli(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Besëlidhja Lezhë(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bylis(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Delvina(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Besa Kavajë win, 2 draws, 3 Pogradeci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Pogradeci 1-0 Besa Kavajë | Superliga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Besa Kavajë 2-3 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Pogradeci 0-0 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Besa Kavajë 1-1 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Besa Kavajë 0-1 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Pogradeci 0-1 Besa Kavajë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Besa Kavajë score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besa Kavajë | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pogradeci | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Besa Kavajë sit 1st in 1st Division (13 points from 7 matches) and Pogradeci sit 2nd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavajë | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci?
- The Footlab AI model makes Besa Kavajë the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Pogradeci.
- Where and when is Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci played?
- Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Luz i Vogël, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.