Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fusha Sportive Orikum, Orikum
The Footlab model makes Oriku the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Oriku (1,494) and Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriku have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FK Kukesi(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Tomori Berat(home) | 3-2 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Memaliaj(away) | 7-0 | 2nd Division - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oriku win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Oriku 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| May 12, 2021 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Oriku 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Oriku 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Mar 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Oriku score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriku | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
- The Footlab model makes Oriku the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Besëlidhja Lezhë.
- Where and when is Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë played?
- Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fusha Sportive Orikum, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.