Besançon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: result 3-2 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 18Kick-off on December 16, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Léo Lagrange, Besançon
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What was the result of Besançon vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Besançon won 3-2 on December 16, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 64′Mathieu ScarpelliFréjus St-Raphaël
- 71′Lakdar BoussahaBesançon
- 74′K. HoggasBesançon
- 75′Lakdar BoussahaBesançon
- 82′Vincent Santiago Georges FernandezFréjus St-Raphaël
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besançon have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Bayonne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 25, 2011 | Vannes(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 11, 2011 | Niort(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 4, 2011 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Epinal(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2011 | Canet(away) | 3-1 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Vannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 25, 2011 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 2-5 | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Coupe de France |
| Nov 11, 2011 | Creteil(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Besançon score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besançon | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy