Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Oriku. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,442) and Oriku (1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Oriku have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | Luftëtari(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FK Kukesi(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Tomori Berat(home) | 3-2 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Memaliaj(away) | 7-0 | 2nd Division - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Oriku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Oriku 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| May 12, 2021 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Oriku 1-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Oriku 2-0 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Oriku vs Besëlidhja Lezhë on Mar 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oriku score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oriku | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku?
- The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Oriku.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Oriku is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.