Match

Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë: prediction and stats

1st DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec

PogradeciBesa Kavajë

The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Besa Kavajë. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pogradeci wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë?

On Elo ratings, Pogradeci has 1,756 points and Besa Kavajë 1,664.

53%25%22%
Pogradeci winDrawBesa Kavajë win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pogradeci

4-3-3
  1. 8Georgios Lleshaj
  2. 90K. Preknicaj
  3. 20Indio Oliveira
  1. 97M. Shanaj
  2. 7B. Greca
  3. 31Suleiman Danladi
  1. 2K. Toshevski
  2. 18A. Samake
  3. 13Vilson Lila
  4. 22P. Kasmollari
  1. 24Marin Stanic

Besa Kavajë

4-3-3
  1. 13Nurudeen Abdulai
  2. 4Ersi Kapo
  3. 10Rodrigo Migone
  1. 23E. Spahiu
  2. 22Redon Danaj
  3. 7F. Beqja
  1. 33Bianor
  2. 26William Cordeiro
  3. 3K. Ayivi
  4. 30Rubin Hebeja
  1. 50M. Abdullahu

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Besa Kavajë have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogradeci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Bylis(away)2-21st Division
Oct 17, 2026Sopoti Librazhd(home)2-21st Division
Oct 11, 2026Korabi Peshkopi(away)2-01st Division
Oct 7, 2026Delvina(home)7-0Cup
Sep 20, 2026Flamurtari(home)0-01st Division
Besa Kavajë
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Korabi Peshkopi(home)2-01st Division
Oct 16, 2026FK Kukesi(away)0-21st Division
Oct 11, 2026Iliria Fushë-Krujë(home)2-01st Division
Oct 7, 2026Devolli(home)4-1Cup
Sep 20, 2026Besëlidhja Lezhë(away)1-21st Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pogradeci wins, 2 draws, 1 Besa Kavajë win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2026Pogradeci 1-0 Besa KavajëSuperliga
Mar 14, 2026Besa Kavajë 2-3 Pogradeci1st Division
Jan 17, 2026Pogradeci 0-0 Besa Kavajë1st Division
Oct 19, 2025Besa Kavajë 1-1 Pogradeci1st Division
Apr 28, 2025Besa Kavajë 0-1 Pogradeci1st Division
Mar 15, 2025Pogradeci 0-1 Besa Kavajë1st Division

Last archived meeting: Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Besa Kavajë score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pogradeci1.90.975/158/15
Besa Kavajë2.10.967/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogradeci sit 2nd in 1st Division (13 points from 7 matches) and Besa Kavajë sit 1st (13 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Besa Kavajë741217713
2Pogradeci734011513

A question about Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë?
The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Besa Kavajë.
Where and when is Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë played?
Pogradeci vs Besa Kavajë is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the 1st Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pogradeci and Besa Kavajë

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