Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Besëlidhja, Lezhë
The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sopoti Librazhd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Besëlidhja Lezhë (1,441) and Sopoti Librazhd (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Besëlidhja Lezhë have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sopoti Librazhd have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Apolonia Fier(away) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Gramshi(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 1-3 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 1-1 | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Luftëtari(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Vora(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Erzeni Shijak(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Luzi 2008(away) | 0-4 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tërbuni Pukë(home) | 2-0 | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Besëlidhja Lezhë win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sopoti Librazhd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-1 Sopoti Librazhd | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Sopoti Librazhd 4-1 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 2nd Division - Group A |
| May 9, 2024 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 0-2 Sopoti Librazhd | 2nd Division - Play-offs |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Besëlidhja Lezhë 1-0 Sopoti Librazhd | 2nd Division - Group A |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Sopoti Librazhd 1-2 Besëlidhja Lezhë | 2nd Division - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd on Mar 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Besëlidhja Lezhë score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sopoti Librazhd score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besëlidhja Lezhë | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sopoti Librazhd | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd?
- The Footlab model makes Besëlidhja Lezhë the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Sopoti Librazhd.
- Where and when is Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd played?
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Besëlidhja, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.