Pogradeci vs Oriku: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, Pogradec
The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Oriku. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Oriku?
Pogradeci is a heavy favourite: 1,758 Elo points against 1,444, a 314-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pogradeci vs Oriku
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Oriku
4-3-3- CC. Nwatsock
- JJ. Raboshta
- RR. Shkreli
- LLucas Oliveira
- EE. Llojaj
- WWesley Pereira
- AAslambek Bunkhoev
- SS. Zholi
- XXhuljano Buxhelaj
- JJ. Gjinaj
- AA. Bunkhoev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogradeci have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Oriku have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Delvina(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 1-4 | 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burreli(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(away) | 0-5 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pogradeci wins, 1 draw, 2 Oriku wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Pogradeci 1-0 Oriku | 2nd Division - Group B |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Oriku 1-1 Pogradeci | 2nd Division - Group B |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Oriku 2-0 Pogradeci | Cup |
| May 14, 2022 | Pogradeci 1-2 Oriku | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Pogradeci 9-1 Oriku | Cup |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Pogradeci 1-0 Oriku | 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oriku score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogradeci | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Oriku | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogradeci sit 1st in 1st Division (11 points from 5 matches) and Oriku sit 12th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Oriku | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
A question about Pogradeci vs Oriku?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogradeci vs Oriku?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pogradeci the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Oriku.
- Where and when is Pogradeci vs Oriku played?
- Pogradeci vs Oriku is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.