FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti Krujë: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kukës Arena, Kukës
The Footlab model makes FK Kukesi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kastrioti Krujë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti Krujë?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate FK Kukesi (1,512) and Kastrioti Krujë (1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Kukesi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kastrioti Krujë have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maliqi(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 28, 2026 | Butrinti Sarandë(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Bylis B(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Besa Kavajë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| May 3, 2026 | Lushnja(away) | 4-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Luftëtari(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Skenderbeu Korce(away) | 0-4 | 1st Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Laci(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FK Kukesi win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Kastrioti Krujë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë 0-2 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-1 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Nov 3, 2025 | FK Kukesi 0-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 2-0 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Kastrioti Krujë 1-0 FK Kukesi | 1st Division |
| Oct 20, 2024 | FK Kukesi 0-1 Kastrioti Krujë | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Kastrioti Krujë vs FK Kukesi on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Kukesi score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kastrioti Krujë score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Kukesi | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kastrioti Krujë | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Kukesi sit 10th in 1st Division (31 points from 33 matches) and Kastrioti Krujë sit 6th (39 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kastrioti Krujë | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 57 | 39 |
| 10 | FK Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 50 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti Krujë?
- The Footlab model makes FK Kukesi the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Kastrioti Krujë.
- Where and when is FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti Krujë played?
- FK Kukesi vs Kastrioti Krujë is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kukës Arena, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.