Beti Onak vs Subiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Lorenzo Goikoa, Villava
The Footlab model makes Beti Onak the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Subiza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beti Onak vs Subiza?
Subiza starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beti Onak have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Subiza have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ardoi(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 17, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peña Sport(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Beti Onak win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Subiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Beti Onak 0-1 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Subiza 1-2 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Beti Onak 2-5 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Subiza 2-0 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Beti Onak 0-3 Subiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Subiza 1-0 Beti Onak | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Beti Onak score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beti Onak | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Subiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beti Onak sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (36 points from 34 matches) and Subiza sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Subiza | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 54 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beti Onak vs Subiza?
- The Footlab model makes Beti Onak the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Subiza.
- Where and when is Beti Onak vs Subiza played?
- Beti Onak vs Subiza is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Goikoa, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.