Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 · Matchday 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, Lizasoáin
The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamplona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On Elo ratings, Pamplona has 1,798 points and Avance Ezcabarte 1,716.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamplona have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pamplona wins, 2 draws, 1 Avance Ezcabarte win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte 0-0 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Pamplona 4-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Avance Ezcabarte 2-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Pamplona 3-2 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 3-4 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Pamplona 0-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Avance Ezcabarte vs Pamplona on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamplona score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplona | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamplona sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (7 points from 10 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 16 | Pamplona | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- Pamplona vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.