Txantrea vs Mutilvera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 11Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, Pamplona
The Footlab AI model makes Txantrea the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Mutilvera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Txantrea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Txantrea (1,693) and Mutilvera (1,776).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Txantrea vs Mutilvera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Txantrea
Not enough data to predict the Txantrea lineup.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Txantrea have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mutilvera have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Txantrea wins, 2 draws, 1 Mutilvera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Mutilvera 6-0 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Txantrea 1-1 Mutilvera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Mutilvera 1-1 Txantrea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Mutilvera vs Txantrea on Mar 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Txantrea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Txantrea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Txantrea sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 6 matches) and Mutilvera sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Txantrea | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Txantrea vs Mutilvera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Txantrea the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Mutilvera.
- Where and when is Txantrea vs Mutilvera played?
- Txantrea vs Mutilvera is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones Deportivas Chantrea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.