Bezana vs Tropezón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Municipal De Bezana, Santa Cruz de Bezana
The Footlab AI model makes Tropezón the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Bezana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tropezón wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bezana vs Tropezón?
Tropezón starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bezana vs Tropezón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bezana
Not enough data to predict the Bezana lineup.
Tropezón
Not enough data to predict the Tropezón lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bezana have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tropezón have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guarnizo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vimenor(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castro(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Solares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bezana wins, 3 draws, 3 Tropezón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bezana 0-2 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tropezón 0-0 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Bezana 1-3 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tropezón 1-1 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tropezón 1-1 Bezana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Bezana 1-2 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bezana score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tropezón score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bezana | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Tropezón | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bezana sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (16 points from 6 matches) and Tropezón sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Bezana | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
A question about Bezana vs Tropezón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bezana vs Tropezón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tropezón the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Bezana.
- Where and when is Bezana vs Tropezón played?
- Bezana vs Tropezón is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Municipal De Bezana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.