BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 20Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin
The Footlab AI model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1. If BFC Dynamo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate BFC Dynamo (1,939) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BFC Dynamo
Not enough data to predict the BFC Dynamo lineup.
Erzgebirge Aue
4-2-3-1- 15M. Bär
- 30S. Skarlatidis
- 27T. Maciejewski
- 3D. Angleberger
- 8N. Lihsek
- 22W. Kamm
- 5B. Strietzel
- 21M. Burghardt
- 29S. Kokovas
- 19C. Pauling
- 1M. Männel
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 27, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 BFC Dynamo wins, 0 draws, 1 Erzgebirge Aue win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue 3-2 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs BFC Dynamo on Aug 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Dynamo score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Dynamo | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Dynamo sit 4th in Regionalliga - Nordost (24 points from 12 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 8th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 8 | Erzgebirge Aue | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 21 |
A question about BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue?
- The Footlab AI model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
- BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026FSV ZwickauvsChemnitzer FC
- Dec 13, 2026Hallescher FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Dec 13, 2026AltglienickevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 13, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBFC Preussen
- Dec 13, 2026LuckenwaldevsMagdeburg II
- Dec 13, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Dec 13, 2026RSV EintrachtvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Dec 13, 2026Greifswalder FCvsHertha BSC II