Greifswalder FC vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 20Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Hertha BSC II?
Greifswalder FC starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Greifswalder FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 1-4 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 0-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 0-2 Greifswalder FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 0-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 0-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs Greifswalder FC on Aug 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Hertha BSC II played?
- Greifswalder FC vs Hertha BSC II is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026FSV ZwickauvsChemnitzer FC
- Dec 13, 2026Hallescher FCvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Dec 13, 2026BFC DynamovsErzgebirge Aue
- Dec 13, 2026AltglienickevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Dec 13, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsBFC Preussen
- Dec 13, 2026LuckenwaldevsMagdeburg II
- Dec 13, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Dec 13, 2026RSV EintrachtvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena