Match

BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin

BFC PreussenErzgebirge Aue

The Footlab AI model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1. If BFC Preussen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate BFC Preussen (1,863) and Erzgebirge Aue (1,869).

40%25%35%
BFC Preussen winDrawErzgebirge Aue win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

BFC Preussen

Not enough data to predict the BFC Preussen lineup.

Erzgebirge Aue

4-2-3-1
  1. 15M. Bär
  1. 30S. Skarlatidis
  2. 27T. Maciejewski
  3. 3D. Angleberger
  4. 8N. Lihsek
  5. 22W. Kamm
  1. 5B. Strietzel
  2. 21M. Burghardt
  3. 29S. Kokovas
  4. 19C. Pauling
  1. 1M. Männel

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Preussen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 17, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 10, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 26, 2026Hallescher FC(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 19, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Hallescher FC(home)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Oct 11, 2026Greifswalder FC(away)0-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 27, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 19, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 16, 2026Magdeburg II(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 BFC Preussen wins, 0 draws, 1 Erzgebirge Aue win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs BFC Preussen on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Preussen score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen1.41.5210/157/15
Erzgebirge Aue1.51.7210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Preussen sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 14 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Erzgebirge Aue13634201821
13BFC Preussen14257162211

A question about BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The Footlab AI model makes BFC Preussen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Erzgebirge Aue.
Where and when is BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
BFC Preussen vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: BFC Preussen and Erzgebirge Aue

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