BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 1-1. If BG Pathum United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior?
BG Pathum United starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,665).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BG Pathum United
4-1-4-1- 45João Magno
- 6S. Yooyen
- 18C. Songkrasin
- 8A. Pumwisat
- 4L. James
- 26A. Belmonte
- 5K. Kaman
- 17E. Dolah
- 2C. Tamma
- 37F. Kaufmann
- 28S. Anuin
Lamphun Warrior
3-4-3- 14Mohammed Osman
- 9Anderson Chaves
- 8A. Berg
- 5C. Tongkiri
- 32B. Tapla
- 6C. Ilić
- 30S. Singmui
- 7D. Schad
- 23C. Clough
- 33O. Okungbowa
- 20N. Muangngam
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BG Pathum United have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lamphun Warrior have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 4-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Suphanburi(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BG Pathum United wins, 2 draws, 1 Lamphun Warrior win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | BG Pathum United 2-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BG Pathum United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Lamphun Warrior 2-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Lamphun Warrior 2-0 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | BG Pathum United 3-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs BG Pathum United on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BG Pathum United score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lamphun Warrior score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lamphun Warrior | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BG Pathum United sit 11th in Thai League 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Lamphun Warrior sit 8th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lamphun Warrior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | BG Pathum United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior?
- The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior played?
- BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior is played on December 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BG Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.