Buriram United vs Bangkok United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Chang Arena, Buriram
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Bangkok United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buriram United vs Bangkok United?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buriram United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bangkok United have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buriram United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bangkok United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Buriram United 0-2 Bangkok United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bangkok United 1-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Bangkok United 1-2 Buriram United | League Cup |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Bangkok United 3-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Buriram United 4-2 Bangkok United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Buriram United 3-2 Bangkok United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Bangkok United on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bangkok United score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bangkok United | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buriram United sit 1st in Thai League 1 (70 points from 30 matches) and Bangkok United sit 5th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buriram United vs Bangkok United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Bangkok United.
- Where and when is Buriram United vs Bangkok United played?
- Buriram United vs Bangkok United is played on December 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Chang Arena, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.