Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)LEO Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Rayong FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Chiangrai United (1,686) and Rayong FC (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangrai United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rayong FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-6 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Buriram United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Uthai Thani(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chiangrai United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rayong FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Rayong FC 1-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Chiangrai United 0-1 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Chiangrai United 1-0 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Rayong FC 2-0 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Chiangrai United 3-2 Rayong FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Rayong FC 0-2 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Rayong FC vs Chiangrai United on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rayong FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rayong FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangrai United sit 7th in Thai League 1 (40 points from 30 matches) and Rayong FC sit 9th (37 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC?
- The Footlab model makes Chiangrai United the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Rayong FC.
- Where and when is Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC played?
- Chiangrai United vs Rayong FC is played on December 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at LEO Chiangrai Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.