BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
BG Pathum United starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,823 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BG Pathum United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Uthai Thani have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 BG Pathum United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Uthai Thani win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United 4-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Uthai Thani 0-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Uthai Thani 0-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BG Pathum United score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BG Pathum United sit 4th in Thai League 1 (52 points from 30 matches) and Uthai Thani sit 11th (31 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BG Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 52 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
- The Footlab model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani played?
- BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani is played on April 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BG Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.