BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 1-1. If BG Pathum United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
BG Pathum United starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BG Pathum United
4-4-2- 19A. Coffey
- 21P. Verkamp
- 6S. Yooyen
- 5K. Kaman
- 11P. Gustavsson
- 8A. Pumwisat
- 50E. Osmanović
- 48W. Choolthong
- 17E. Dolah
- 2C. Tamma
- 28S. Anuin
Uthai Thani
4-3-3- 7T. Buhagiar
- 22Kelvin
- 9I. Enomoto
- 10B. Davis
- 25R. Maikami
- 77Robertinho
- 3C. Charalampous
- 13Jeong Tae-Wook
- 19W. Playnum
- 5S. Peenagatapho
- 97Caíque
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BG Pathum United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Uthai Thani have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sisaket United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 4-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 BG Pathum United wins, 1 draw, 0 Uthai Thani wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | BG Pathum United 4-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Uthai Thani 0-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Uthai Thani 1-1 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | BG Pathum United 2-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Uthai Thani 0-2 BG Pathum United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BG Pathum United score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uthai Thani score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BG Pathum United | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Uthai Thani | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BG Pathum United sit 10th in Thai League 1 (6 points from 5 matches) and Uthai Thani sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
A question about BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani?
- The Footlab AI model makes BG Pathum United the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani played?
- BG Pathum United vs Uthai Thani is played on April 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at BG Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.