Aoiz vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Agoitz (Aoiz)
The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Aoiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamplona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aoiz vs Pamplona?
Pamplona starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aoiz vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aoiz
Not enough data to predict the Aoiz lineup.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aoiz have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Pamplona have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Aoiz wins, 2 draws, 1 Pamplona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pamplona 1-1 Aoiz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Pamplona 2-2 Aoiz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Aoiz 1-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aoiz score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoiz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aoiz sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (9 points from 6 matches) and Pamplona sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aoiz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Pamplona | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Aoiz vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aoiz vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Aoiz.
- Where and when is Aoiz vs Pamplona played?
- Aoiz vs Pamplona is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.