Biel-Bienne vs Basel II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tissot Arena, Biel/Bienne
The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Basel II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biel-Bienne vs Basel II?
Biel-Bienne starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biel-Bienne have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Basel II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 5-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Aarau(home) | 3-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Biel-Bienne win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Basel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Biel-Bienne 1-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Basel II 1-3 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 17, 2025 | Basel II 3-0 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Biel-Bienne 2-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 18, 2024 | Basel II 0-0 Biel-Bienne | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Biel-Bienne 5-1 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Biel-Bienne vs Basel II on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Biel-Bienne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Basel II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biel-Bienne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Basel II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biel-Bienne sit 2nd in 1. Liga Promotion (12 points from 4 matches) and Basel II sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Biel-Bienne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 | Basel II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biel-Bienne vs Basel II?
- The Footlab model makes Biel-Bienne the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Basel II.
- Where and when is Biel-Bienne vs Basel II played?
- Biel-Bienne vs Basel II is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tissot Arena, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.