Bavois vs Amical Saint-Prex: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Peupliers, Bavois
The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bavois vs Amical Saint-Prex?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Bavois (1,695) and Amical Saint-Prex (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bavois have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Amical Saint-Prex have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | YF Juventus(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Zürich II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Nyonnais(home) | 1-3 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bellinzona(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 0-6 | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Amical Saint-Prex score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Amical Saint-Prex | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bavois sit 10th in 1. Liga Promotion (5 points from 4 matches) and Amical Saint-Prex sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Amical Saint-Prex | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bavois vs Amical Saint-Prex?
- The Footlab model makes Amical Saint-Prex the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Bavois vs Amical Saint-Prex played?
- Bavois vs Amical Saint-Prex is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Peupliers, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.