Bílovec vs Pustá Polom: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Fotbalove Hriste Bílovec, Bílovec
The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Pustá Polom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bílovec vs Pustá Polom?
Bílovec starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bílovec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Pustá Polom have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zabreh(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Opava II(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frýdlant(home) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Jiskra Rýmařov(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(home) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Bílovec win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pustá Polom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pustá Polom 1-0 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Bílovec 5-3 Pustá Polom | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| May 18, 2025 | Pustá Polom 1-1 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Bílovec 3-1 Pustá Polom | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Pustá Polom 1-5 Bílovec | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pustá Polom vs Bílovec on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bílovec score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pustá Polom score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bílovec | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pustá Polom | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bílovec sit 12th in 4. liga - Divizie F (1 points from 2 matches) and Pustá Polom sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pustá Polom | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Pustá Polom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Bílovec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bílovec | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bílovec vs Pustá Polom?
- The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Pustá Polom.
- Where and when is Bílovec vs Pustá Polom played?
- Bílovec vs Pustá Polom is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Fotbalove Hriste Bílovec, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.