Binissalem vs Andratx: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miquel Pons, Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Binissalem the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Andratx. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Binissalem vs Andratx?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Binissalem (1,764) and Andratx (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Binissalem have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Andratx have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Son Cladera(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 5-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Binissalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Andratx win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Andratx 2-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Binissalem 1-3 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Binissalem 0-3 Andratx | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Andratx 0-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Andratx vs Binissalem on Feb 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Binissalem score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Andratx score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binissalem | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Andratx | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 34 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Binissalem vs Andratx?
- The Footlab model makes Binissalem the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Andratx.
- Where and when is Binissalem vs Andratx played?
- Binissalem vs Andratx is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miquel Pons, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.