Binissalem vs Constància: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Miquel Pons, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Binissalem. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Binissalem vs Constància?
Constància starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,672).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Binissalem vs Constància
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Constància
Not enough data to predict the Constància lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Binissalem have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Constància have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Alcúdia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Binissalem win, 1 draw, 4 Constància wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Binissalem 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Constància 3-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Binissalem 0-1 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Constància 1-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Constància 2-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Binissalem 1-0 Constància | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Binissalem vs Constància on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Constància score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Constància | 2.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Binissalem sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (6 points from 6 matches) and Constància sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Constància | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Binissalem vs Constància?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Binissalem vs Constància?
- The Footlab AI model makes Constància the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Binissalem.
- Where and when is Binissalem vs Constància played?
- Binissalem vs Constància is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miquel Pons, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.