PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, Sant Josep de sa Talaia
The Footlab model makes PE Sant Jordi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Porreres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres?
Porreres starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PE Sant Jordi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Porreres have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Constància(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 4, 2025 | Porreres(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Binissalem(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Portmany(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Manacor(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Barcelona B(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 PE Sant Jordi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Porreres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Porreres 3-1 PE Sant Jordi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | PE Sant Jordi 2-3 Porreres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Porreres vs PE Sant Jordi on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PE Sant Jordi score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Porreres score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE Sant Jordi | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Porreres | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres?
- The Footlab model makes PE Sant Jordi the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Porreres.
- Where and when is PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres played?
- PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Kiko Serra, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.