Cardassar vs Llosetense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Camp Municipal D'esports Sant Llorenç des Cardassar, Sant Llorenç des Cardassar
The Footlab model makes Llosetense the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Cardassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardassar vs Llosetense?
Llosetense starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardassar have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Llosetense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Constància(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 17, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 10, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Cardassar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Llosetense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llosetense 1-1 Cardassar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Cardassar 2-1 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Cardassar 1-1 Llosetense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 9, 2021 | Llosetense 2-1 Cardassar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Llosetense vs Cardassar on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardassar score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Llosetense score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardassar | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Llosetense | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardassar sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (44 points from 34 matches) and Llosetense sit 5th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 58 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 55 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardassar vs Llosetense?
- The Footlab model makes Llosetense the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Cardassar.
- Where and when is Cardassar vs Llosetense played?
- Cardassar vs Llosetense is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Municipal D'esports Sant Llorenç des Cardassar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.