Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueFirst Stage - Play Out - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab AI model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Birzebbuga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birkirkara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,762 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara?
Birkirkara starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,384).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birzebbuga
4-3-3- 20Gabriel Costa Goncalves
- 10Yuri
- 17J. Walker
- 18R. Thellufsen
- 29Aléx Bruno
- 98J. Mendoza
- 2Gustavo Felipe
- 25J. Bolaños
- 5Z. Cassar
- 94D. Zerafa
- 1M. Chiesa
Birkirkara
4-3-3- 99Amarildo
- 28S. Brewer
- 27F. Sasere
- 30Pablo
- 8Rafa Santos
- 9K. Reid
- 22Z. Muscat
- 74J. Vassallo
- 3Frazan
- 77A. Garzia
- 1F. Ondoa
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birzebbuga have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Birkirkara have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Birzebbuga wins, 1 draw, 0 Birkirkara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Birkirkara 2-2 Birzebbuga | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Birkirkara vs Birzebbuga on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birzebbuga score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Birkirkara score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birzebbuga | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Birkirkara | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birzebbuga sit 11th in Premier League (7 points from 12 matches) and Birkirkara sit 7th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Birkirkara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 16 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birkirkara the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Birzebbuga.
- Where and when is Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara played?
- Birzebbuga vs Birkirkara is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.