Birzebbuga vs Mosta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab AI model makes Birzebbuga the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mosta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birzebbuga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birzebbuga vs Mosta?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Birzebbuga (1,385) and Mosta (1,412).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birzebbuga vs Mosta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birzebbuga
4-3-3- 10Yuri
- 20Gabriel Costa Goncalves
- 17J. Walker
- 98J. Mendoza
- 18R. Thellufsen
- 29Aléx Bruno
- 2Gustavo Felipe
- 25J. Bolaños
- 5Z. Cassar
- 94D. Zerafa
- 1M. Chiesa
Mosta
4-3-3- 7Nevin Portelli
- 30N. Cross
- 13E. Ebere
- 66G. Acheampong
- 6N. Frendo
- 10Giancarlo
- 93Thiaguinho
- 11K. Zammit
- 4Emmanuel Ugwu
- 9P. Ohaka
- 22Akpan Udoh
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birzebbuga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mosta have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gzira United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Birzebbuga wins, 1 draw, 0 Mosta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mosta 2-2 Birzebbuga | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Birzebbuga score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mosta score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birzebbuga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mosta | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birzebbuga sit 11th in Premier League (6 points from 11 matches) and Mosta sit 9th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mosta | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Birzebbuga vs Mosta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birzebbuga vs Mosta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birzebbuga the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mosta.
- Where and when is Birzebbuga vs Mosta played?
- Birzebbuga vs Mosta is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.