Floriana vs Hibernians: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Independence Ground, Floriana
The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hibernians. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floriana wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floriana vs Hibernians?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Floriana vs Hibernians
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Floriana
4-3-3- 8P. Mbong
- 90S. Odey
- 9K. Dervisagic
- 16Chapi
- 14A. Kurtalic
- 12D. Vella
- 21C. Zammit Lonardelli
- 17O. Spiteri
- 3M. Beerman
- 4Kauan
- 23G. Cioletti
Hibernians
4-3-3- 7J. Mbong
- 34A. Sobczyk
- 9J. Mickels
- 47M. El Fanis
- 4S. Alfred
- 28J. Roe
- 3M. Römling
- 5K. Shaw
- 24L. Lacunza
- 14D. Xuereb
- 45M. Cardinali
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floriana have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hibernians have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Gzira United(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Floriana wins, 2 draws, 0 Hibernians wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hibernians 0-4 Floriana | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Floriana 4-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Hibernians 0-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Floriana 1-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Floriana 2-0 Hibernians | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Floriana 1-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hibernians vs Floriana on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Floriana score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hibernians score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hibernians | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floriana sit 5th in Premier League (16 points from 11 matches) and Hibernians sit 6th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Floriana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernians | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Floriana vs Hibernians?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floriana vs Hibernians?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floriana the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Hibernians.
- Where and when is Floriana vs Hibernians played?
- Floriana vs Hibernians is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Independence Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.