Match

Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Marsaxlokk Ground, Marsaxlokk

MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans

The Footlab AI model makes Marsaxlokk the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hamrun Spartans. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marsaxlokk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Marsaxlokk (1,589) and Hamrun Spartans (1,646).

37%27%36%
Marsaxlokk winDrawHamrun Spartans win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marsaxlokk

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Lindén
  2. 11J. C. Corbalan
  3. 10Dodo
  1. 25J. Minala
  2. 6N. Muscat
  3. 8U. Arias
  1. 27L. Aguirre
  2. 4O. El Hasni
  3. 5E. Pepe
  4. 3Weder
  1. 22C. Mafoumbi

Hamrun Spartans

4-3-3
  1. 10Lucas Villela
  2. 29M. Trotta
  3. 7S. Attard
  1. 91Emerson Marcelina
  2. 94R. Camenzuli
  3. 27O. Bjeličić
  1. 13V. Polito
  2. 5S. Xerri
  3. 2Rafael Petrilio
  4. 55K. Scicluna
  1. 1G. Marchegiani

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:52 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marsaxlokk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hamrun Spartans have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marsaxlokk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Gzira United(away)5-0Premier League
Oct 24, 2026Sliema Wanderers(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Birzebbuga(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Birkirkara(home)2-0Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Zabbar St. Patrick(home)2-1Premier League
Hamrun Spartans
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Sliema Wanderers(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Valletta FC(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Balzan FC(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Gzira United(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hibernians(home)2-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marsaxlokk wins, 0 draws, 3 Hamrun Spartans wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Hamrun Spartans 4-1 MarsaxlokkPremier League
May 9, 2026Marsaxlokk 2-1 Hamrun SpartansPremier League
Apr 11, 2026Marsaxlokk 3-2 Hamrun SpartansPremier League
Feb 23, 2026Hamrun Spartans 2-0 MarsaxlokkPremier League
Dec 14, 2025Hamrun Spartans 1-3 MarsaxlokkPremier League
Sep 23, 2025Marsaxlokk 0-2 Hamrun SpartansPremier League

Last archived meeting: Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk on Sep 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marsaxlokk score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hamrun Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marsaxlokk1.51.438/158/15
Hamrun Spartans1.51.2211/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marsaxlokk sit 2nd in Premier League (20 points from 11 matches) and Hamrun Spartans sit 4th (17 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Marsaxlokk11623211420
4Hamrun Spartans11452171317

A question about Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?
The Footlab AI model makes Marsaxlokk the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hamrun Spartans.
Where and when is Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans played?
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Marsaxlokk Ground, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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