Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610).

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win42 %

Draw28 %

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Sep 16, 2025	Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 2024	1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)	1-1	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024	Hakkari Zapspor(home)	2-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)	0-3	Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	1.3	1.5	2	5/8	5/8
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	2.1	1.1	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?: The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor.
Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.