Where and when is Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?

Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

Adanaspor

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,334).

Adanaspor win13 %

Draw19 %

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win68 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adanaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	1461 Trabzon FK(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Mar 25, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Mar 15, 2026	Somaspor(away)	0-5	2. Lig

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	0-6	2. Lig
Jan 24, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Jan 17, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Dec 22, 2025	Kırklarelispor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Dec 17, 2025	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	3-5	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Adanaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 13, 2025	Adanaspor 0-3 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu on Dec 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Adanaspor	0.1	5.3	0	2/15	14/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	1.4	3.0	3	6/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?: The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?: Adanaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.