Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, Osmaniye
The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Osmaniyespor (1,525) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osmaniyespor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Osmaniyespor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Diyarbekirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Osmaniyespor 0-2 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Diyarbekirspor 1-1 Osmaniyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Osmaniyespor 1-0 Diyarbekirspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Osmaniyespor 2-2 Diyarbekirspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmaniyespor | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Diyarbekirspor.
- Where and when is Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
- Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026Yeni MalatyasporvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor
- Oct 18, 2026AdanasporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Oct 18, 2026Kırşehir BelediyesporvsNiğde Belediyesispor
- Oct 18, 2026Ağrı 1970vsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Oct 18, 2026Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Oct 18, 2026Karaman FKvsAdana Adaletgucu
- Oct 18, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsKaraköprü Belediyespor
- Oct 18, 2026Yozgat Bld BozoksporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor