Match

Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, Osmaniye

OsmaniyesporDiyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Osmaniyespor (1,525) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).

Osmaniyespor win52 %
Draw24 %
Diyarbekirspor win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osmaniyespor have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osmaniyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 202612 Bingölspor(home)1-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)1-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Osmaniyespor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Diyarbekirspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Osmaniyespor 0-2 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 21, 2025Diyarbekirspor 1-1 Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 10, 2024Osmaniyespor 1-0 DiyarbekirsporTürkiye Kupası
Dec 8, 2019Osmaniyespor 2-2 Diyarbekirspor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osmaniyespor1.31.738/158/15
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
The Footlab model makes Osmaniyespor the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
Osmaniyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Osmaniye 7 Ocak Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Osmaniyespor and Diyarbekirspor

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