Bjelovar vs Trnje: prediction and stats
Second NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Bjelovar
The Footlab model makes Bjelovar the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Trnje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bjelovar vs Trnje?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Bjelovar (1,691) and Trnje (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bjelovar have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Trnje have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavonija Požega(away) | 4-3 | Second NL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Križevci(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Graničar Đurđevac(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(away) | 0-2 | Second NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Solin(home) | 1-1 | Second NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter Zapresic(home) | 3-0 | Second NL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Dugo Selo(home) | 0-1 | Second NL |
| May 23, 2026 | Grobničan Čavle(away) | 5-1 | Second NL |
| May 16, 2026 | Kustosija(home) | 1-0 | Second NL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bjelovar win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Trnje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Trnje 0-0 Bjelovar | Second NL |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Trnje 4-3 Bjelovar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Bjelovar 2-3 Trnje | Second NL |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Bjelovar 2-3 Trnje | Second NL |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Trnje 2-2 Bjelovar | Second NL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Trnje 0-0 Bjelovar | Second NL |
How many goals should we expect?
Bjelovar score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trnje score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjelovar | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Trnje | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bjelovar sit 12th in Second NL (29 points from 30 matches) and Trnje sit 9th (31 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trnje | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | 31 |
| 12 | Bjelovar | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 45 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bjelovar vs Trnje?
- The Footlab model makes Bjelovar the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Trnje.
- Where and when is Bjelovar vs Trnje played?
- Bjelovar vs Trnje is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the Second NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.