Jarun vs Zagora: prediction and stats
Second NLRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Ivan Laljak-Ivić, Zaprešić
The Footlab model makes Zagora the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Jarun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jarun vs Zagora?
Zagora starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jarun have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zagora have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lucko(away) | 1-1 | Second NL |
| May 30, 2026 | HNK Cibalia(home) | 1-1 | First NL |
| May 22, 2026 | Karlovac 1919(away) | 1-2 | First NL |
| May 17, 2026 | Dubrava Zagreb(home) | 0-2 | First NL |
| May 10, 2026 | Croatia Zmijavci(away) | 2-1 | First NL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koprivnica(home) | 3-5 | Second NL |
| May 30, 2026 | GOŠK Kaštel Gomilica(home) | 3-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| May 23, 2026 | Hrvatski vitez(away) | 3-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| May 16, 2026 | Sloga Mravince(home) | 6-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| May 10, 2026 | Kamen Ivanbegovina(away) | 0-1 | Third NL - Jug |
How many goals should we expect?
Jarun score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Zagora score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarun | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Zagora | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jarun vs Zagora?
- The Footlab model makes Zagora the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Jarun.
- Where and when is Jarun vs Zagora played?
- Jarun vs Zagora is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ivan Laljak-Ivić, in the Second NL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.