Match

BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan

BKMAArarat-Armenia

The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for BKMA. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,841 Elo points against 1,451, a 390-point gap.

7%15%78%
BKMA winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

BKMA

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Harutyunyan
  2. 11D. Davtyan
  3. 9A. Petrosyan
  1. 47H. Manukyan
  2. 29A. Askaryan
  3. 13A. Sargsyan
  1. 6A. Petrosyan
  2. 2A. Khachatryan
  3. 14P. Krmzyan
  4. 21D. Dokhoyan
  1. 22H. Ghazaryan

Ararat-Armenia

4-2-3-1
  1. 91Sandro Lima
  1. 8J. Balanta
  2. 77A. Serobyan
  3. 19K. Muradyan
  4. 7Z. Shaghoyan
  5. 10A. Ambartsumyan
  1. 47A. Malis
  2. 5Luís Felipe
  3. 43Bruno Wilson
  4. 16E. Grigoryan
  1. 98João Bravim

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BKMA have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ararat-Armenia have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BKMA
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Shirak(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 28, 2026Alashkert(away)0-4Cup
Oct 25, 2026Syunik(away)1-4Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ararat-Armenia(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 12, 2026Pyunik Yerevan(away)0-5Premier League
Ararat-Armenia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Gandzasar(home)3-0Premier League
Oct 29, 2026Olympia Yerevan(away)4-1Cup
Oct 26, 2026FC Noah(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026AZ Alkmaar(home)0-4UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026BKMA(away)1-0Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BKMA wins, 1 draw, 5 Ararat-Armenia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026BKMA 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
May 17, 2026BKMA 2-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
Oct 25, 2025Ararat-Armenia 2-1 BKMAPremier League
Sep 29, 2025BKMA 2-2 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
May 18, 2025Ararat-Armenia 4-0 BKMAPremier League
Nov 2, 2024BKMA 2-4 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League

Last archived meeting: BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BKMA score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat-Armenia score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BKMA0.92.028/1510/15
Ararat-Armenia1.81.268/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BKMA sit 11th in Premier League (8 points from 12 matches) and Ararat-Armenia sit 2nd (29 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ararat-Armenia12921241029
11BKMA1222810228

A question about BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia?
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for BKMA.
Where and when is BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia played?
BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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