Blumenau vs Figueirense: prediction and stats
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Ervin Blaese, Indaial, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Figueirense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blumenau. The most likely score is 1-1. If Figueirense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blumenau vs Figueirense?
Figueirense starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blumenau vs Figueirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blumenau
Not enough data to predict the Blumenau lineup.
Figueirense
4-3-3- 99Émerson Galego
- 70Igor Bolt
- 17Mailson
- 8Dudu
- 22Vitor Ricardo
- 14Breno
- 6Arthur Henrique
- 7Raynan
- 3Leonan Santos
- 37Lucas Dias
- 12Fabrício
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blumenau have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Figueirense have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marcílio Dias(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metropolitano(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Barra(away) | 2-2 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Santa Catarina(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Metropolitano(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Catarina(away) | 2-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nação(home) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Barra(home) | 1-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Maranhão(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Blumenau score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Figueirense score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blumenau | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
| Figueirense | 1.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Blumenau vs Figueirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blumenau vs Figueirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Figueirense the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blumenau.
- Where and when is Blumenau vs Figueirense played?
- Blumenau vs Figueirense is played on November 1, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ervin Blaese, in the Copa Santa Catarina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.